Sui, let's break down the current situation
After hitting a solid floor around 1.7163 USDT in mid-April, SUI signaled a shift in momentum when it broke above 2.0630 USDT, a move known as a CHoCH. This suggested the bears were losing steam. The price then took a breather, consolidating between 2.0630 and 2.3978 USDT, almost like it was coiling up for a spring.
That spring action happened when SUI blasted through 2.3978 USDT (a BOS), launching a powerful surge towards 2.9733 USDT. This zone presented some resistance, marked by significant trading volume. However, the bulls weren't done yet, pushing through this level with even more force. This propelled SUI to a temporary high of 3.3916 USDT before a slight dip to 3.2605 USDT.
Here's a simplified look at the key areas to watch:
* Fresh Ceiling: The 3.39–3.40 USDT area is a recent high where sellers stepped in with noticeable volume.
* Immediate Support: The 3.13–3.14 USDT zone is acting as current support, previously a high-volume area right after the last bounce.
* Stronger Foundation: The 2.97–3.00 USDT range saw significant volume before the major upward push, making it a key support.
* Build-Up Zone: The 2.06–2.40 USDT range represents a month of consolidation and the area of the initial bullish shift (BOS/CHoCH).
* Absolute Bottom: The 1.7163 USDT level is the year's low and the starting point of this recovery.
Volume tells a story:
* The CHoCH at 2.0630 USDT was accompanied by a surge in volume, indicating strong buying interest.
* Breaking above and retesting 2.3978 USDT saw a significant increase in volume, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
* Around 2.9733 USDT, another volume spike occurred, preceding the move to the recent high.
* At 3.39 USDT, increased selling volume suggests some profit-taking.
Key Technical Observations:
* The CHoCH from the 1.7163 USDT low signaled a change in market sentiment towards buyers.
* The BOS above 2.3978 USDT confirmed a new uptrend and the start of faster price appreciation.
* The BOS above 2.9733 USDT marked the second leg of the upward impulse, leading to the new high.
* The rejection at 3.3916 USDT hints at a possible short-term pullback.
Potential Paths Forward:
* Bullish Scenario: If SUI holds above 3.13 USDT and breaks through the 3.39–3.40 USDT resistance with strong volume, we could see a move towards 3.60–3.80 USDT and potentially the psychological level of 4.00 USDT.
* Bearish Scenario: If SUI fails to hold 3.13 USDT and breaks below the 2.97–3.00 USDT support, the next targets would be the 2.40–2.06 USDT range, and further selling pressure could lead back to the 1.7163 USDT low.
Trading Strategies:
* For Long Positions: Look for a solid bounce off the 3.13–3.14 USDT support. Place your stop-loss just below 3.10 USDT. Consider taking partial profits around 3.39-3.40 USDT and then at 3.60 USDT.
* For Short Positions: Consider entering on a rejection from the 3.39–3.40 USDT resistance, with a stop-loss above 3.42 USDT. Initial targets would be 3.13 USDT, followed by the 2.97–3.00 USDT zone.
In Conclusion:
SUI has successfully emerged from a consolidation phase between 2.06 and 2.40 USDT, confirming a bullish breakout above 2.3978 USDT and reaching the 3.39 USDT level with significant volume. The ability of SUI to maintain support at 3.13 USDT and subsequently break above 3.40 USDT with volume will be crucial for further upward movement. Failure to hold this support could open the door for a return to the 2.97–3.00 USDT area and lower support levels.
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